Open Access

Assessing risk of a prolonged QT interval–a survey of emergency physicians

  • Amanda S. Y. Chan1,
  • Geoffrey K. Isbister1, 2, 4Email author,
  • Carl M. J. Kirkpatrick1 and
  • Stephen B. Duffull1, 3
International Journal of Emergency Medicine20081:14

DOI: 10.1007/s12245-008-0014-6

Received: 23 January 2008

Accepted: 17 February 2008

Published: 18 March 2008



Although QT prolongation is associated with an increased risk of torsades de pointes (TdP), it is unclear how clinicians determine risk in individual patients with prolonged QT.


To investigate physicians’ interpretation of electrocardiogram (ECG) values in patients with a prolonged QT in reference to risk of TdP.


A survey was sent to Australasian emergency physicians (EPs) to investigate interpretation of ECG data in risk assessment for TdP. The survey contained three sections: demographic information, questions on heart rate correction and six sets of ECG data which the clinician ranked from low to high risk. Risk analysis for ECG values was performed by producing histograms of the distribution of responses for each of the six sets of ECG parameters. These distributions were compared to predicted distributions based on Bazett’s corrected QT>500 ms and the QT nomogram. The QT nomogram is a recently developed method for assessing whether QT-HR pairs are associated with increased risk of TdP by plotting them to determine if they are above an at risk line—the nomogram.


Of 720 surveys sent out, 249 were returned (35%). A heart rate correction was used by 90% of respondents and the median “at risk” QTc judged by EPs was 450 ms [interquartile range (IQR): 440–500 ms]. Respondents were divided as to whether bradycardia increased the risk of TdP, with equal numbers responding “no change” and “more caution”. In four of the six sets of ECG parameters, EPs had a similar risk distribution to that predicted by Bazett. For one point predicted to be high risk by the QT nomogram, there was a uniform (undecided) risk distribution by EPs.


EPs mainly relied on Bazett’s correction as their method of TdP risk assessment, which may be problematic for bradycardic patients.


QT interval Drug toxicity Torsades de pointes Nomogram Risk assessment

1 Introduction

Prolongation of the QT interval and risk of torsades de pointes (TdP) are ongoing issues for both the pharmaceutical industry in drug development and for clinicians assessing patients following drug interactions or drug overdose. During drug development the potential for a drug to prolong the QT interval must be assessed on many levels, including in vitro, animal and human studies [1]. The current International Conference of Harmonisation (ICH) guidelines stipulate that cautionary labelling should be used on new drugs if QT prolongation occurs for more than 5 ms, as this denotes some risk of TdP [2]. Drugs that prolong the QT interval for more that 20 ms are considered proarrhythmic and are generally not marketed [2]. These are likely to be the upper bounds of proven safety rather than the lower bound of proven risk.

Despite this increasing focus on QT prolongation by the pharmaceutical industry and drug regulatory agencies, there remains little information available to clinicians to guide them in risk assessment of a drug-induced prolonged QT [1]. Although small changes of 5 and 20 ms may be relevant to the introduction of a new drug into the population (i.e. 20 ms in a susceptible person with mild undiagnosed congenital long QT syndrome), these criteria are less helpful for the clinician making a risk assessment for individual patients.

Unfortunately, there is no universally accepted criterion to identify the level of QT duration that is associated with a clinically significant increased TdP risk. Current methods include QT intervals corrected for heart rate (HR). These are termed QTc when corrected to a heart rate of 60 bpm. Various formulae exist for the calculation of QTc and Bazett’s formula (QTcB = QT/RR1/2) is the most commonly used in clinical practice. However, this formula is known to be less reliable for values of heart rate that differ significantly from 60 bpm and poses a problem for physicians in examining a patients’ risk of developing TdP in cases of extreme bradycardia and more commonly with tachycardia [36]. A recent study by our group has evaluated a different approach based on pre-clinical study data by Fossa et al. using a QT nomogram [7, 8].

The aim of this study was to assess physicians’ interpretation of electrocardiogram (ECG) values in reference to risk of TdP through the use of a survey.

2 Methods

A survey was developed to elucidate physicians’ perception of risk of QT prolongation (Appendix). Institutional ethics approval was obtained from the University of Queensland. The survey was in three parts: part one recorded the demographics, including specialty and experience (number of years after receiving specialty qualification); part two asked about use of HR correction formulae, what values of QT/QTc physicians believed confer a significant risk and whether this risk was modified by the presence of bradycardia/tachycardia (more or less cautious); part three asked the physician to rate the risk of developing TdP given various ECG values (see Appendix). Risk was given on a 5-point Likert scale where a value of 1 indicates “low risk” and 5 “high risk”. Six different sets of ECG values were provided. ECG values were provided in HR, absolute QT interval and corrected QT interval according to Bazett’s formula, the most commonly used in clinical practice.

Two sets of low risk and two sets of high risk values according to the QT nomogram were chosen. Another two sets of values were chosen which displayed “borderline” risk as the QT-HR pair was on the border of the QT nomogram line (see Fig. 1) [7]. When estimating the risk at the defined points using Bazett’s correction factor, a different risk assessment results. The prediction was used whereby a QTc<440 ms denotes low risk and a QTc>500 ms indicates high risk. Thus two of the survey points are considered low risk, one point medium risk and three points high risk. Differentiation between the predictive qualities of the two methods, Bazett’s and the QT nomogram, were identified using three survey points. Survey points 2 and 6 are of borderline risk according to the QT nomogram, but equate to high risk according to the Bazett correction factor with QTc of 502 ms and 517 ms, respectively. Survey point 4 was high risk according to the QT nomogram, but only considered medium risk by Bazett’s (QTc=476 ms). The differences in the risk prediction by the two methods, identifiable using the survey points, will allow for discrimination of physicians’ interpretation of risk.
Fig. 1

Plot of survey points (QT versus HR) with Bazett’s correction factor (440 ms and 500 ms) and the QT nomogram line included [7]

A pilot survey was initially given to 10 clinical toxicologists and 15 emergency physicians to determine the appropriateness of the questions and survey layout. Data were collated and analysed from the pilot survey and modifications were made to improve the readability of the survey, but no major changes were made to the content. The surveys were then mailed to all emergency physicians via the Australasian College for Emergency Medicine in mid-January 2006 and included all Fellows of the Australasian College for Emergency Medicine (FACEMs). Each survey was sent with an accompanying cover letter and reply paid envelope. A repeat mailing of the survey was sent in mid-February 2006. In all cases the respondents were unidentified. Data from returned surveys were entered into a Microsoft Excel spreadsheet.

2.1 Data analysis

Parts one and two were summarized using descriptive statistics. For part three, histograms of the distribution of responses (low to high risk) were produced for each set of ECG values. These plots of response distributions were compared to predicted distributions (see Fig. 2): the null distribution (where every point was given uniform risk weighting), a risk weighting according to Bazett’s formula and a risk weighting according to the QT nomogram line [7]. The null distribution assumed that the physician response to the risk for each QT-HR combination was uniform from low risk (1) to high risk (5). The distribution according to Bazett’s correction formula was created by using QTc=440 ms and QTc=500 ms as cut-off values. QTc values of more than 500 ms were given a high risk rating, those falling between 440 and 500 were medium risk and those values less than 440 were considered low risk. The QT nomogram line was used to predict the last set of responses. Values of QT-HR falling above the line were considered high risk, those on the line were given medium risk and the values which fell below the line were considered low risk. A visual analysis between the distribution of the survey results and the predicted distributions was then performed.
Fig. 2

Predicted responses for the null distribution, Bazett’s correction factor and the QT nomogram compared to the observed distribution of responses

3 Results

Seven hundred and twenty surveys were sent in each mailing and a total of 249 surveys were returned (34.6%). In addition to emergency physicians, a few responses were received from FACEM clinical toxicologists (2.8%) and FACEM intensive care specialists (1.6%) (Table 1). The majority of respondents had more than 5 years of experience (75.5%) in their specialty.
Table 1

Demographics of survey respondents



Intensive care









<5 years






5–10 years






>10 years












In assessing risk of TdP, 89.9% of emergency physicians answered that they use a correction factor and 87.5% answered that they believed that a HR correction was a better predictor than absolute QT. The median QTc at which emergency physicians expressed concern about the development of TdP was 450 ms [interquartile range (IQR): 440–500; range: 400–1,000 ms]. For those who chose to use absolute QT interval, the median was 500 ms (IQR: 475–520; range: 440–1,000 ms). When asked whether bradycardia (<50 bpm) would change their risk assessment the respondents were divided with equal numbers of responses for “no change” and “more caution”. With tachycardia the majority responded “no change”.

In part three respondents were asked to rate the risk of developing TdP given certain ECG values. The distribution of responses where the emergency physicians’ responses differed from the predicted response or when the QT nomogram predicted response differed from the Bazett prediction can be seen in Fig. 2 (columns 2, 4 and 6). For survey points 1, 3 and 5, the distribution of responses were found to be as per the predictions from the Bazett’s correction factor and also the QT nomogram.

At survey point 2 (HR=92, QT=405, Fig. 2, column 2), the physicians assessed a generally medium to high risk, halfway between the medium risk predicted by the QT nomogram and high risk predicted by Bazett’s HR correction formula. At survey point 4 (HR=54 bpm, QT=500 ms, Fig. 2, column 4), the responses form a relatively uniform distribution with a risk assessment of between medium-low to high, where the QT nomogram predicts a high risk of developing TdP as opposed to Bazett’s formula which predicts a medium risk. Only including respondents who do not use HR correction formulae did not change this (data not shown). At survey point 6 (HR=70, QT=480, Fig. 2, column 6), the distribution of responses represented high risk which was similar to that of Bazett’s correction factor, but not the QT nomogram which predicted a medium risk.

4 Discussion

Emergency physicians were found to mainly rely on Bazett’s correction formula for their method of TdP risk assessment with responses similar to those predicted for Bazett’s for four of the six points. Of the other two points one had tachycardia and the observed responses were less cautious than Bazett’s. The other (point 4) was more concerning because this point is in a region of QT-HR associated with TdP (Fig. 1) and the observed responses were “undecided” with no trend in the distribution of responses.

Survey point 4 gives the most insight into current approaches to risk assessment in practicing clinicians. This point is in a region where a number of cases of TdP have been published and is above the QT nomogram line [7]. However, Bazett’s formula only predicts medium risk, which has been shown to be the major problem with Bazett’s formula [7]. Emergency physicians were generally undecided for this point with the number of responses at medium-low, medium, medium-high and high risk being almost identical. Although physicians appear to follow Bazett’s formula there is a mixed response for this point with bradycardia, probably with some staying with Bazett’s formula while others factor in the additional component of bradycardia. This is supported by the divided response on the influence of bradycardia and whether assessment should be more cautious or not.

It is concerning that no previous studies have investigated physician risk assessment of QT prolongation for TdP. Possibly this is because there are no clearly defined guidelines or methods for determining whether patients are at risk. The commonest approaches use the QTc values, but numerous cut-offs for “at risk” are defined in the literature [1, 4, 9]. There appears to be a huge gap between research being undertaken on the QT by drug regulatory agencies and the pharmaceutical industry and clinicians who are being increasingly faced with drug-induced prolonged QT in individual patients. There also appears to be little translation of the last few decades of research done on the QT interval into clinical practice. For example, despite Bazett’s formula being recognized as problematic outside the HR range of 60–100 bpm [10], it is the most common formula used in clinical practice and is calculated routinely by commercial electrocardiograph machines [3, 4]. This is supported by our survey, which demonstrates that 90% of emergency physicians use a HR correction formula, and the risk assessment is similar to Bazett’s for most points and there is confusion for a point clearly associated with TdP.

In summary, physicians in an emergency care setting appeared to rely on corrected QT interval, typically using Bazett’s formula, for TdP risk assessment. Interpretation of risk was more varied in the presence of concurrent bradycardia, but not tachycardia. There is a need for easily accessible methods for determining risk assessment in patients with a prolonged QT and guidelines to assist in the implementation of such methods.

5 Limitations

A limitation of the study was that only emergency physicians were surveyed. We did not include cardiologists, intensive care physicians or general practitioners because of difficulties with obtaining mailing lists. However, emergency physicians are the group most likely and most commonly to be making risk assessments about drug-induced prolonged QT, because most patients with drug overdoses or acute drug reactions present to an emergency department and many with other causes of drug-induced QT prolongation will get referred.

Responses were generally from physicians with more than 5 years experience in the field, which may have also affected the results because they may represent a more traditional approach to the assessment of the QT interval. However, there did not appear to be a difference between respondents with less than and more than 5 years experience.

The response rate to the survey was only 35% despite it being sent out on two occasions. This may introduce some biases into the results if only emergency physicians who felt comfortable with risk assessment of QT prolongation responded.



Conflict of interest statement



Geoff Isbister is funded by an NHMRC Clinical Career Development Award ID300785.

Authors’ Affiliations

School of Pharmacy, University of Queensland
Menzies School of Health Research, Charles Darwin University
School of Pharmacy, University of Otago
Department of Clinical Toxicology, Newcastle Mater Hospital


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